Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.208207 0.240543 0.277655 0.323715 0.379782 0.446377 0.532307
2025-05-25 0.159289 0.200472 0.253256 0.327223 0.430437 0.572877 0.790841
2025-06-01 0.129269 0.172765 0.233106 0.325705 0.469515 0.694159 1.093566
2025-06-08 0.108557 0.151744 0.215367 0.320210 0.497840 0.806091 1.433171
2025-06-15 0.097042 0.141081 0.209508 0.329826 0.551049 0.976519 1.970913
2025-06-22 0.085162 0.127551 0.196164 0.323103 0.572419 1.094911 2.474329
2025-06-29 0.077450 0.119285 0.189674 0.326458 0.613231 1.269343 3.243350
2025-07-06 0.070040 0.110375 0.180448 0.322381 0.637171 1.415809 4.062109
2025-07-13 0.065306 0.105337 0.177201 0.329168 0.686982 1.650959 5.420433
2025-07-20 0.061397 0.101202 0.174897 0.337278 0.742583 1.932596 7.334538
2025-07-27 0.057892 0.097338 0.172473 0.344533 0.798657 2.250218 9.951821
2025-08-03 0.055095 0.094437 0.171491 0.354825 0.866880 2.655789 13.947024
2025-08-10 0.051900 0.090498 0.167998 0.358910 0.920811 3.057944 19.161119
2025-08-17 0.048824 0.086477 0.163824 0.360609 0.969273 3.484645 26.290402
2025-08-24 0.045773 0.082184 0.158496 0.358291 1.004592 3.889874 35.338299
2025-08-31 0.042761 0.077676 0.152123 0.351942 1.024368 4.243608 46.171269
2025-09-07 0.041196 0.076002 0.151941 0.362730 1.111667 5.070803 72.878196
2025-09-14 0.038626 0.071963 0.145775 0.355147 1.126008 5.483303 96.758984
2025-09-21 0.036958 0.069708 0.143570 0.358922 1.189010 6.316535 149.984035
2025-09-28 0.034971 0.066586 0.138908 0.354329 1.215303 6.931573 214.672705
2025-10-05 0.033784 0.065124 0.138165 0.361974 1.301108 8.192916 383.178468
2025-10-12 0.032746 0.063900 0.137875 0.371114 1.400061 9.802608 763.483950
2025-10-19 0.031726 0.062628 0.137307 0.379296 1.500185 11.699714 1685.128322